ノビーの恐れを知らぬHigh Parkの桜開花予想【開花宣言】/ Nobby's Fearless Prediction of Cherry Blossoms at High Park [Now Blooming]

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ノビーの恐れを知らぬHigh Parkの桜開花予想【開花宣言】/ Nobby's Fearless Prediction of Cherry Blossoms at High Park [Now Blooming]

Post  NobbyM on Fri May 09, 2014 5:50 pm

皆さーん、

[] ノビーの恐れを知らぬHigh Parkの桜開花予想【開花宣言】

High Parkの桜の開花を宣言します。5月9日。(*注)
坂に沿った桜並木の木々に数輪づつ咲きました。
開花予想範囲内より1日遅れ。
今日の数値に長期予報の数値を使って再計算すると満開は13日前後。(*注)
今日の感じだと11日の日曜日には楽しめる程度に咲いていると思います。

*「開花」とはあらかじめ決めた3本の木のうち2本に5ー6輪咲いた状態。
*「満開」とは80%の花が咲いた状態。

開花予想の過去の記録:

2007年5月2日(予想範囲内)
2008年4月26日(予想範囲内)
2009年4月27日(予想範囲内より2日遅れ)
2010年4月12日(予想範囲内)
2011年5月4日(予想範囲内より1日遅れ)
2012年4月5日(予想範囲内より3日遅れ)
2013年4月30日(予想範囲内)
2014年5月9日(予想範囲内より1日遅れ)

注)ボクは桜の専門家ではありません。非常に簡単な方法で予想しています。開花予想が外れても責任は負えません。

Nobby Miura 三浦信義
nobbycosmic@yahoo.co.jp
【トロ大留学日記】80冊以上販売。$5.
【コスミック茶話(さわ)】150冊以上販売。$18.
http://nobbycosmic.com/Cosmic/Webpage/Cosmicwebpage.htm


All,  

[] Nobby's Fearless Prediction of Cherry Blossoms at High Park [Now Blooming]

I declare that the cherry flowers in the High Park started blooming.  May 9. (*)
I see a few flowers on each cherry tree along the trail on the slope.
One day later than the end of the prediction range.
The recalculation using todays figure and the long range forecast shows that the full bloom looks to occur around May 13. (*)
Judging from what I saw today, you can expect an enjoyable blooming on May 11, Sunday.

* The definition of the beginning of the bloom is that at least 5 to 6 flowers on at least two trees each among the three pre-chosen trees bloom.
* Full bloom means the condition where 80% of the flowers are in full bloom.

Past blooming record:

May 2, 2007 (Within the prediction)
April 26, 2008 (Within the prediction)
April 27, 2009 (2 days later than the prediction range)
April 12, 2010 (Within the prediction)
May 4, 2011 (1 day later than the predicted range)
April 5, 2012 (3 days later than the predicted range)
April 30, 2013 (Within the prediction)
May 9, 2014 (1 day later than the predicted range)

Note: I am not an expert on the blooming nor the cherry blossoms.  I am calculating the figures with very basic pieces of information. I do not take any responsibilities if the prediction was off.

Nobby Miura
nobbycosmic@yahoo.co.jp
[University of Toronto Diary] More than 80 copies sold. Only $5.
[Cosmic Tea Time Stories] More than 150 copies sold. $18.
http://nobbycosmic.com/Cosmic/Webpage/Cosmicwebpage.htm

NobbyM

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