ノビーの恐れを知らぬHigh Parkの桜開花予想-【近況】/ Nobby's Fearless Prediction [UPDATE] of Cherry Blossoms at High Park

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ノビーの恐れを知らぬHigh Parkの桜開花予想-【近況】/ Nobby's Fearless Prediction [UPDATE] of Cherry Blossoms at High Park

Post  TSN on Tue Apr 26, 2016 7:30 pm

(English version follows the Japanese version)

皆さーん、

[] ノビーの恐れを知らぬHigh Parkの桜開花予想【近況】(4月26日)

4月26日のHigh Parkの桜状況:
- 冬のような低温続きでつぼみは4月21日以来ほとんど膨らんでいません。
- その代わり若葉の芽が出始めました。今年は花と若葉が一緒になってしまうかも知れません。
- 長期予報は5月9日まで平年以下の気温を予報しています。
- 現在の計算数値はいつ開花しても良い数値を示しています。長年開花予想をしていますが、こんなに数値と現状がずれたのは初めてです。
- 従って今後の開花の予想は実際のつぼみの膨らみ、他の植物の若葉や花の状況、長期予報の気温から想像するしかありません。

ノビーの全能力を集中してガラスの玉を覗いてみると:
[開花予想]:4月29日から5月3日の間。(4月9日の予想最終版から9日遅れ)。
[満開予想]:5月7日から5月11日までの間。

開花を確認次第開花宣言と、その日から長期予報を使って計算した満開予想を下記に掲載します。
http://torontonikkeiforum.2forum.biz/f1-toronto-nikkei-forum

All,

[] Nobby's Fearless Prediction [UPDATE] of Cherry Blossoms at High Park (April 26)

The condition of the cherry blossoms at High Park on April 26:
- The buds showed not much progress since April 21 due to the winter-like temperatures since then.
- Instead, young leaves started to shoot. The flowers and leaves may be mixed at the same time this year.
- The 14-day forecasts indicate less-than-normal temperatures till May 9.
- The calculated figures at present show that the flowers can start blooming any time now.  I am doing the prediction for many years, yet it is the first time that the actual buds are so much behind the calculated figures.
- Thus, from now on, I have to rely on other ways to predict the blooming, using the present state of the buds, the progresses of other plants and flowers, and the latest 14-day forecast.

Looking into a glass ball concentrating all the power of Nobby's brain, the predictions are ....:
[Start of blooming]:Between April 29 and May 3. (9 days later than the FINAL prediction on April 9).
[Full bloom]:Between May 7 and May 11.

As soon as I confirm the start of the blooming, I will post it as well as the prediction of the full bloom dates recalculated from that date.
http://torontonikkeiforum.2forum.biz/f1-toronto-nikkei-forum

Nobby Miura 三浦信義 P.Eng., M.Eng.
nobbycosmic@gmail.com

TSN

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